Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.643998 0.834776 1.050582 1.309662 1.609159 1.941571 2.335445
2025-04-06 0.388413 0.623966 0.926637 1.329606 1.837931 2.444673 3.210232
2025-04-13 0.217225 0.448536 0.789889 1.292598 1.978249 2.847835 4.000763
2025-04-20 0.125936 0.342526 0.710061 1.303161 2.166842 3.316056 4.897870
2025-04-27 0.071039 0.265053 0.645906 1.315691 2.348738 3.779562 5.809380
2025-05-04 0.033367 0.191225 0.560436 1.272842 2.437187 4.113464 6.559568
2025-05-11 0.013066 0.134706 0.483164 1.222734 2.500620 4.406968 7.259818
2025-05-18 0.005010 0.103210 0.444422 1.229635 2.648001 4.822621 8.139125
2025-05-25 0.001008 0.072078 0.389446 1.191681 2.712973 5.113927 8.848097
2025-06-01 0.000241 0.061920 0.387627 1.259423 2.959906 5.687890 9.977080
2025-06-08 0.000002 0.046500 0.359301 1.263637 3.093007 6.088940 10.863639
2025-06-15 NaN 0.042794 0.371199 1.359484 3.395529 6.763966 12.167822
2025-06-22 NaN 0.036114 0.368236 1.422633 3.646991 7.375095 13.406137
2025-06-29 NaN 0.027953 0.352089 1.450964 3.835220 7.892243 14.518906
2025-07-06 NaN 0.017978 0.314054 1.415382 3.897460 8.206261 15.333190
2025-07-13 NaN 0.012783 0.296056 1.428558 4.053984 8.678413 16.396761
2025-07-20 NaN 0.008898 0.279910 1.442913 4.212062 9.156046 17.476569
2025-07-27 NaN 0.004680 0.246542 1.397786 4.243605 9.419715 18.229695
2025-08-03 NaN 0.002018 0.213919 1.344620 4.251701 9.640714 18.918135
2025-08-10 NaN 0.001048 0.200751 1.352118 4.389041 10.087417 19.968153
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000288 0.176184 1.311686 4.416734 10.341449 20.716186
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000204 0.181383 1.384000 4.701199 11.055928 22.209448
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000048 0.169897 1.388512 4.830929 11.497314 23.271451